{"id":94926,"date":"2026-03-06T20:02:39","date_gmt":"2026-03-06T20:02:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/80000hours.org\/?post_type=video&#038;p=94926"},"modified":"2026-04-22T19:38:57","modified_gmt":"2026-04-22T19:38:57","slug":"iabied","status":"publish","type":"video","link":"https:\/\/80000hours.org\/videos\/iabied\/","title":{"rendered":"If anyone builds it, does everyone&nbsp;die?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-sm-7 margin-bottom-smaller\">\n<div id=\"youtube-Yu8Vu-Og2xA\" class=\"wrap-video\" style=\"border-radius:8px; overflow:hidden;\">\n<div class=\"lazyYT\" data-youtube-id=\"Yu8Vu-Og2xA\" data-ratio=\"16:9\"\n         data-parameters=\"modestbranding=1&show_info=1&theme=light&enablejsapi=1\" data-autoplay=\"0\"><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"well bg-gray-lighter margin-bottom margin-top padding-top-small padding-bottom-small\">\n<p class=\"small-and-gray\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/ytlogo-1.png\" alt=\"YouTube logo\" title=\"\" class=\"small-img\" \/> Watch the video again:  <a href=\"https:\/\/youtu.be\/Nl7-bRFSZBs\" title=\"\" class=\"small-and-gray\">The AI book that&#8217;s freaking out national security advisors<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"col-sm-5\">\n<div class=\"panel clearfix \">\n<h5 class=\"text-center-and-top-padding\">Reading recs, job leads, real ways to help<\/h5>\n<p class=\"small-and-gray\">If you made it here, you&#8217;ll get a lot out of our newsletter: reads from our team, curated AI safety jobs, and research worth your time. <\/p>\n<p class=\"small-and-gray\">Sign up and we&#8217;ll send you a free book. 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Now find your place in the field.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/icon7.svg\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" class=\"wn-icon\" \/> <a href=\"https:\/\/80000hours.org\/career-reviews\/\">Chart: The highest-impact career paths<\/a><\/li>\n<li><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/icon8.svg\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" class=\"wn-icon\" \/> <a href=\"https:\/\/80000hours.org\/speak-with-us\/\">Consult: Free, impact-focused career advising<\/a><\/li>\n<li><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/03\/icon9.svg\" alt=\"\" title=\"\" class=\"wn-icon\" \/> <a href=\"https:\/\/jobs.80000hours.org\/?refinementList%5Btags_area%5D%5B0%5D=AI%20safety%20%26%20policy&#038;utm_source=lp&#038;utm_campaign=2026-iabied-lp&#038;utm_medium=lp\">Pursue: Full-time AI safety and policy jobs<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div><\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<div class=\"panel-group\" id=\"custom-collapse-0\">\n<div class=\"panel panel-default panel-collapse\">\n<div class=\"panel-heading\">\n<h4 class=\"panel-title\"><a class=\"no-visited-styling collapsed\" data-toggle=\"collapse\" data-target=\"#-0\">Feedback <i class='accordion-subtitle small'>Share your thoughts on the video with us<\/i><\/a><\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"-0\" class=\"panel-body-collapse collapse\" data-80k-event-label=\"Feedback <i class='accordion-subtitle small'>Share your thoughts on the video with us<\/i>\">\n<div class=\"panel-body\">\n<p>Let us know what landed, what was confusing, or what we should cover next.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/forms\/d\/e\/1FAIpQLSdCg1dNKmJ0eF4IYAPd40Cnh4hZ4wwPMtA1Cv65-pshWBSblQ\/viewform?usp=sharing&#038;ouid=111346034948445512735\" title=\"\" class=\"btn btn-tertiary\">Share feedback<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<div class=\"panel panel-default panel-collapse\">\n<div class=\"panel-heading\">\n<h4 class=\"panel-title\"><a class=\"no-visited-styling collapsed\" data-toggle=\"collapse\" data-target=\"#-1\">Sources <i class='accordion-subtitle small'>What informed our research<\/i><\/a><\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"-1\" class=\"panel-body-collapse collapse\" data-80k-event-label=\"Sources <i class='accordion-subtitle small'>What informed our research<\/i>\">\n<div class=\"panel-body\">\n<p>References from our video and the resources that guided our research.<\/p>\n<p><em>Sable (Book vs. Video):<\/em><\/p>\n<ul style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/docs.google.com\/document\/d\/1YKkQ1_KcrQLuK7phmqbWBk_L8sBhsFrE7HoGlfME6GI\/edit?tab=t.0#heading=h.mm0wegnyw515\">Differences between the Sable scenario in If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies and the AI in Context retelling | Aric Floyd<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>More from the authors:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/ifanyonebuildsit.com\/resources\">If Anyone Builds It: Additional Resources | Eliezer Yudkowsky &#038; Nate Soares<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/intelligence.org\/the-problem\/\">The Problem | Machine Intelligence Research Institute<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/intelligence.org\/files\/AIPosNegFactor.pdf\">Artificial Intelligence as a Positive and Negative Factor in Global Risk | Eliezer Yudkowsky<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Critiques of the book:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/joecarlsmith.com\/2025\/11\/12\/how-human-like-do-safe-ai-motivations-need-to-be\">How human-like do safe AI motivations need to be? | Joe Carlsmith<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.mechanize.work\/blog\/unfalsifiable-stories-of-doom\/\">Unfalsifiable stories of doom | Matthew Barnett, Ege Erdil, Tamay Besiroglu<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/willmacaskill\/status\/1968759901620146427\">Mini-review of <em>If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies<\/em> | Will MacAskill<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Critiques of the authors:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lesswrong.com\/posts\/EaLCAZ4bgycY6hFC8\/value-fragility-and-ai-takeover\">Value fragility and AI takeover | Joe Carlsmith<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lesswrong.com\/posts\/pz7Mxyr7Ac43tWMaC\/against-evolution-as-an-analogy-for-how-humans-will-create\">Against evolution as an analogy for how humans will create AGI | Steven Byrnes<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.lesswrong.com\/posts\/hvz9qjWyv8cLX9JJR\/evolution-provides-no-evidence-for-the-sharp-left-turn\">Evolution provides no evidence for the sharp left turn | Quintin Pope<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>AI agent capabilities:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.anthropic.com\/news\/claude-code-security\">Making frontier cybersecurity capabilities available to defenders | Anthropic<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/metr.org\/time-horizons\/\">Task-Completion Time Horizons of Frontier AI Models | METR<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/A_G_I_Joe\/status\/2011213878395617571?s=20\">President of the American Mathematical Society Ravi Vakil on Gemini Proof | Adam Brown<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>AI misalignment research:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.anthropic.com\/research\/alignment-faking\">Alignment faking in large language models | Anthropic<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.antischeming.ai\/\">Stress Testing Deliberative Alignment for Anti-Scheming Training | Apollo Research &#038; OpenAI<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/palisaderesearch.org\/blog\/shutdown-resistance\">Shutdown resistance in reasoning models | Palisade Research<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>AI misalignment in the wild:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2023\/02\/16\/technology\/bing-chatbot-microsoft-chatgpt.html\">A Conversation With Bing&#8217;s Chatbot Left Me Deeply Unsettled | Kevin Roose, The New York Times<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/openai.com\/index\/sycophancy-in-gpt-4o\/\">Sycophancy in GPT\u20114o: what happened and what we&#8217;re doing about it | OpenAI<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/stevenadler.substack.com\/p\/is-chatgpt-actually-fixed-now\">Is ChatGPT actually fixed now? | Steven Adler, Clear-Eyed AI<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>Dual-use AI agents in the wild:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.anthropic.com\/news\/disrupting-AI-espionage\">Disrupting the first reported AI-orchestrated cyber espionage campaign | Anthropic<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article\/ai-drug-discovery-systems-might-be-repurposed-to-make-chemical-weapons-researchers-warn\/\">AI Drug Discovery Systems Might Be Repurposed to Make Chemical Weapons, Researchers Warn | Rebecca Sohn, Scientific American<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/elmd_\/status\/2020941732196778433\">Overly Agentic: Why Anthropic is Worried About Opus 4.6 | Dominic Elm<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>State of the AI race:<\/em><\/p>\n<ul style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/www.science.org\/content\/article\/alarmed-tech-leaders-call-ai-research-pause\">Alarmed tech leaders call for AI research pause | Laurie Clark, Science<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/P(doom)\">P(doom) | Wikipedia<\/a><\/li>\n<li><a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/2401.02843\">Thousands of AI Authors on the Future of AI | Katja Grace et al., arXiv<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><em>How Realistic Is the Sable Story?<\/em><\/p>\n<ul style=\"font-size: 16px;\">\n<li><span>Recursive self-improvement: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/openai.com\/index\/ai-progress-and-recommendations\/\">AI progress and recommendations | OpenAI<\/a><\/li>\n<li><span>Single run that yielded huge progress: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/arcprize.org\/blog\/openai-o1-results-arc-prize\">OpenAI o1 Results on ARC-AGI-Pub | Mike Knoop, ARC Prize<\/a><\/li>\n<li><span>Evaluation of biorisk from AI: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/red.anthropic.com\/2025\/biorisk\/\">Why do we take LLMs seriously as a potential source of biorisk? | Anthropic<\/a><\/li>\n<li><span>Shutdown resistance: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/2509.14260\">Incomplete Tasks Induce Shutdown Resistance in Some Frontier LLMs | Jeremy Schlatter et al.<\/a><\/li>\n<li><span>Evaluation awareness: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/arstechnica.com\/information-technology\/2024\/03\/claude-3-seems-to-detect-when-it-is-being-tested-sparking-ai-buzz-online\/\">Anthropic&#8217;s Claude 3 causes stir by seeming to realize when it was being tested | Benj Edwards, Ars Technica<\/a><\/li>\n<li><span>Instrumental convergence: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/intelligence.org\/files\/BasicAIDrives.pdf\">Omohundro&#8217;s &#8220;Basic AI Drives&#8221; and Catastrophic Risks | Carl Shulman<\/a><\/li>\n<li><span>Scheming: <\/span><a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/2412.14093\">Alignment faking in large language models | Ryan Greenblatt et al.<\/a>, <a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/2412.04984\">Frontier Models are Capable of In-context Scheming | Alexander Meinke et al.<\/a><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<div class=\"panel panel-default panel-collapse\">\n<div class=\"panel-heading\">\n<h4 class=\"panel-title\"><a class=\"no-visited-styling collapsed\" data-toggle=\"collapse\" data-target=\"#-2\">Book vs. video <i class='accordion-subtitle small'>How our depictions differ<\/i><\/a><\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"-2\" class=\"panel-body-collapse collapse\" data-80k-event-label=\"Book vs. video <i class='accordion-subtitle small'>How our depictions differ<\/i>\">\n<div class=\"panel-body\">\n<p>Our retelling of the Sable scenario differs from the book&#8217;s in several ways. Here&#8217;s what we changed and why.<br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/80000hours.org\/2026\/03\/the-sable-scenario-in-if-anyone-builds-it-everyone-dies-vs-the-ai-in-context-retelling\/\" title=\"\" class=\"btn btn-tertiary\">The Sable scenario in <em>If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies<\/em> vs. the AI in Context retelling<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<div class=\"panel panel-default panel-collapse\">\n<div class=\"panel-heading\">\n<h4 class=\"panel-title\"><a class=\"no-visited-styling collapsed\" data-toggle=\"collapse\" data-target=\"#-3\">Credits <i class='accordion-subtitle small'>More from our team<\/i><\/a><\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div id=\"-3\" class=\"panel-body-collapse collapse\" data-80k-event-label=\"Credits <i class='accordion-subtitle small'>More from our team<\/i>\">\n<div class=\"panel-body\">\n<p>See more work by the people whose technical craft made this video possible:<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/pbrooksfilms.com\/\">Phoebe Brooks \/ Director, Producer<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nickdolph.com\/\">Nick Dolph \/ Director of Photography<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/imvdb.com\/n\/andy-haney\">Andy Haney \/ Gaffer<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.audiokin.com\/\">David Jenkins \/ Sound Recordist<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.zjoseph.com\/\">Zach Joseph \/ Editor<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.behance.net\/danielrecinto\">Daniel Recinto \/ Graphics &#038; Animation<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.milagraf.com\/about\">Mila Graf \/ Graphics &#038; Animation<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div class=\"panel clearfix \">\n<div class=\"row\">\n<div class=\"col-md-7\">\n<h4>Stay in the loop<\/h4>\n<p class=\"small\">Weekly content, jobs, and research. 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